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On Monday, September 7, the euro rate reached almost 90 rubles for the first time since February 2016, adding about 81 kopecks from the previous close. This is evidenced by the trading data on the Moscow Exchange.
At noon, the European currency was worth 90.04 rubles, and at the time of writing, it dropped in price to 89.04 rubles. The dollar exchange rate reached 75.18 rubles.
Denis Davydenko, a Kaliningrad financial analyst at the Finam investment bank, attributes the collapse of the ruble to several factors. The main ones are the events in Belarus and the poisoning of politician Alexei Navalny, as well as the EU’s reduction in the volume of purchases of Russian oil and restrictions against 33 Russian arms manufacturers.
“Also, the inability to pay taxes strongly affects the ruble. The survey has shown that 43.6% of small and medium-sized businesses in the region will most likely not be able to pay taxes this year, ”the expert noted.
The rise in the value of the euro to 90 rubles was previously predicted by analysts due to the possible imposition of US sanctions. Today, in connection with the possible visit of President of Belarus Alexander Lukashenko to Moscow and Russian military exercises in the republic, experts do not exclude further growth of the euro rate — up to 100 rubles per unit of currency, as well as an increase in inflation. The demand for the purchase of foreign currency is naturally growing, including in the Kaliningrad region, says Denis Davydenko: “If you now look at the graphs of the dollar movement, you can see that there are large purchases of foreign currency. This is due to the withdrawal from ruble securities of individuals and large institutional investors. They hedge their ruble in foreign currency. If this trend stops, then we can see the growth of the ruble in the region of 73-72 rubles per dollar, «- summed up the analyst.
As RBC Kaliningrad wrote, individuals who have savings in foreign currency are now mainly selling, not buying. According to Vitaly Bagamanov, director of the Kaliningrad branch of BCS-Premier, it is sold by those who bought it much cheaper, or those who bought currency at a higher price and have now reached breakeven.